No More Incumbents Presidential Race

Presidential Race Perspective and Reviews

November 29th, 2008

Obama Small Donor Base a Myth

(Editor’s Note: This is an article taken from the LA Times)

Everybody knows how President-elect Barack Obama’s amazing campaign money machine was dominated by several million regular folks sending in hard-earned amounts under $200, a real sign of his broadbased grassroots support.

Except, it turns out, that’s not really true.

In fact, Obama’s base of small donors was almost exactly the same percent as George W. Bush’s in 2004 — Obama had 26% and the great Republican satan 25%. Obviously, this is unacceptable to current popular thinking.

But the nonpartisan Campaign Finance Institute just issued a detailed study of Obama’s donor base and its giving. And that’s what the Institute found, to its own surprise.

“The myth is that money from small donors dominated Barack Obama’s finances,” said CFI’s executive director Michael Malbin, admitting that his organization also was fooled. “The reality of Obama’s fundraising was impressive, but the reality does not match the myth.”

Adding up the total contributions from the same small individuals (in terms of dollar amounts, not their height), the Institute discovered that rather than the 50+% commonly….

…reported throughout the campaign, only 26% of Obama’s contributions through last August and only 24% through Oct. 15 came from people whose total donations added up to less than $200.

The key word there being “total.”

It comes down to which definition of “small donor” you accept:
Someone who donated to the Obama campaign by scraping together $199, period. Or someone who donated $199 to the Obama campaign several times, perhaps totaling close to the $4,600 legal limit for the primary and general elections. In aggregate, that would vault him/her out of the small donor category that was so useful to the political campaign’s public relations campaign portraying the donor base as about two times as broad as it really was.

The reported numbers show that Obama actually received 80% more money from large donors (those giving $1,000 or more total) than from small donors.

Through the Democratic National Convention, the Institute estimates, Obama received $119 million from genuine small donors, an impressive sum, to be sure.
But not as impressive as the $210 million he’d raised by then from bundlers and large donors.
“After a more thorough analysis of data from the Federal Election Commission (FEC),” the CFI study says, “it has become clear that repeaters and large donors were even more important for Obama than we or other analysts had fully appreciated.”

Now, we’ll see how broad-based news coverage of this real reality is.

Don't Take Our Word For it, For More Information Google Search is Available

Google
 
February 25th, 2007

Despite even numbers with Front Runners - Vilsack Drops Out

Iowa Governor Tom Vilsack dropped out of the Democractic Presidential race this week. Vilsack showed polling numbers in his home state that could be interpretted two ways.

  1. Looking at the numbers he was running in third or fourth place.
  2. Looking at the numbers he was in a statistical dead heat with front runners Clinton, Obama and Edwards.

Some feel he may have dropped out for fear of coming in Second place in his homestate. Senator Joseph Biden promptly made friendly overtures towards Vilsack on CNN mentioning that Vilsack would make an excellent appointee in a future presidential staff. Vilsack himself cited what is probably the real reason. He did not have the funds.

Former President Bill Clinton is setting a Goal of raising $1 million every week from now until the election for his wife, Hillary. Its no surprise that a Governor from Iowa might have a hard time in the fund raising department. Next to George W. Bush, the Clintons are famous for their ability to successfully raise funds for a campaign. In an odd twist of historical fate Bill Clinton will almost be campaigning as an incumbent for his wife former resident of the White House. Just as George W. Bush was accused of assuming the throne of the White House, the same charges are being tossed out towards Hillary Clinton.

She has the drawing power of a distantly incumbent President in the house hold. Plus she has the last name of a former President, and the name recognition from her stint as First Lady. The Republicans are the incumbent party of the current President and next to them Hillary is the closest thing to an incumbent on the Democratic side.

NoMoreIncumbents.org Position on Presidential Campaign 2008

We’re not ruling out the Republican party and we are not ruling out Hillary Clinton yet. One of our goals is to stay focused on the simple concept of voting out true incumbents. There is enough work to be done in that area. We will follow the race closely and we hope to announce the addition of a new writer that will help us greatly in that regard as it relates to the Presidential Campaign of 2008

Don't Take Our Word For it, For More Information Google Search is Available

Google
 
|